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Kathy Sulivan: Don't read too much into recent election results

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The people spoke, but what did they say? That is the question Democrats and Republicans were debating after this month's elections. While Republicans claimed victory in Manchester due to the mayoral victory of Ted Gatsas and the passage of a spending cap, Democrats pointed to the election of 13 (of 14) Democratic aldermen, and Democratic dominance on the school committee.

Statewide, GOP Chairman John Sununu gloated over the election of a Republican state legislator in -- gasp -- Concord, while Democratic Chairman Ray Buckley noted, more calmly, the election of Democratic mayors across the state as evidence of permanent inroads by the Democratic Party.

Nationally, Republicans danced for joy over gubernatorial triumphs in New Jersey and Virginia, while Democrats did their own jig because of their victories in congressional races in California and New York, giving Democrats a significant 5-0 record in special congressional elections since 2008.

What does it all mean? Not as much as breathless pundits think. Like most off-year gubernatorial races, special elections and municipal elections, this year's results were determined by voters focusing on local factors and local issues.

Take Manchester, for example. In the mayor's race, Ted Gatsas was better known, had substantially more money and worked extremely hard. Yet in the aldermanic and school board races, his "Team Gatsas" effort failed. Manchester GOP Chairman Will Infantine was at a loss to explain the results, calling the near Democratic sweep, including his own loss for Ward 6 alderman, perplexing.

No, the results were predictable because the caliber of candidates matters, particularly in local races. The Republican recruiting efforts were abysmal. Several candidates, like Infantine himself, have run unsuccessfully too many times for city office. The voters chose new faces, including New Hampshire Young Democrats President and early Obama supporter Garth Corriveau over Infantine himself.

Further, no amount of "Team Gatsas" postcards or anti-tax rhetoric was going to convince the good people of Manchester to elect Joe Levasseur, Keith Hirschmann and Steve Vaillancourt, a trio even more inept than the Beagle Boys.

The voters actually helped Gatsas when they rejected the "Team Gatsas" slate. Levasseur has a history of turning on anyone at any time. Hirschmann's antics include ejection for bad behavior from the Verizon Wireless Arena and posting personal attacks on blog sites. By electing serious individuals who are more interested in public service than public theatrics, the voters gave Gatsas the opportunity to have a constructive, drama-free, two-year term -- if the new mayor is willing to take advantage of that opportunity by working cooperatively with the board.

In the case of the two incumbent aldermen who were defeated, local issues were deciding factors. Ward 9's Mike Garrity backed the proposed Walmart store against the wishes of his constituents. In Ward 10, health issues prevented George Smith from doing the door-to-door campaigning that voters have come to expect, while his opponent's support for a city dog park also emerged as a key factor.

Nationally, the intrusion by outsiders in the special election to fill a congressional seat in New York was roundly rejected by voters who were less than thrilled at the efforts of extremist, right-wing Republicans to use their community as a petri dish for an experiment in ideological purification. Much has been written about the mutual destruction of Republicans in that race. GOP officeholders, talk show hosts and fellow travelers poured money and endorsements into the district in favor of the Conservative Party candidate.

Even our New Hampshire candidates felt the need to get involved, with Senate hopeful Ovide Lamontagne announcing he had sent the Conservative Party candidate a check. Republican Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte quickly followed Ovide's lead, but her move had a faint scent of desperation. It is never good to be the last person jumping on a bandwagon, especially a bandwagon that is losing its wheels. The voters in the 23rd District did not take kindly to this onslaught of outside interference and let the world know by electing a Democrat for the first time in decades.

There are two lessons here. First, voters do not like to be told what to do, whether by members of the party establishment or by self-styled "outsiders" like former vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin. Second, right-wing extremism is a tough sell in the Northeast, a fact that New Hampshire Republicans have yet to grasp.

Republicans won in New Jersey by capitalizing on local factors while downplaying conservative ideology. The state has a projected $8 billion deficit and has been subject to recent corruption scandals involving way too many Democrats. As Republicans learned in New Hampshire in 2004, a party awash in ethical problems is a party in trouble. In addition, Gov. John Corzine was not personally popular.

These elections, as well as Tuesday's other races, were local affairs and did not represent seismic shifts in the political landscape. The message the voters sent was the same message candidates and political parties too often forget: All politics really is local.

Kathy Sullivan, a Manchester attorney, was chairman of the state Democratic Party from 1999 to 2007.

YOUR COMMENTS


Really Frank? That's not what I hear from friends and family in NH. What I hear are chants like "Jeanne Sheehan, the taxing machine" and other dissatisfied grumblings. Funny, it's to my "cesspool state" that people flock once they've ruined their own states with high taxes and socialism.
- Susie, Horseshoe Bay, TX (NH native)

Joe Kelly just demonstrated why he has lost races for ward alderman (twice), at-large alderman, mayor (twice), and state senator (twice). He's an angry, mean-spirited pest who adds nothing to the community.
- Cal, Manchester

Kathy. You are in for lots more disappointment and aggravation. Your party is being rejected and you're going to loose many more elections soon. Don't let it get you down. Get out there and start a new carrier. I'm sure that after 3 or 4 more years you will find a gig.
- Rich, Manchester

All this from the DNC party hack who told us when Gatsas won over Roy in Manchester it was because Gatsas bought the election?
Does she even read her own drivel?
- Guy Plante, Manchester

Suzie, you really ought to stick to commenting on your own cesspool state. NH has been much better off since you left.
- Frank, Manchester

Obama's ratings are plunging, the economy is worsening, the dollar is falling, the deficit is rising, and the Dems are in disarray, with Madame Pitbull ripping up the Blue Dogs. Yet this windbag-in-denial believes the GOP victories happened because of money--or even better, because of sheer luck. Sure, Kathleen, it was all just a fluke. Keep puffing on your lotus leaves and maybe you'll be able to paint the world purple and turn water into wine.
- Susie, Horseshoe Bay, TX (NH native)

Kathy Sullivan said, "Blah blah blah, I'm a partisan drone, blah, blah, blah".

I think I've seen this before.
- Marc, Derry

What else was she suppose to say. "That we really don't have a clue and fully expect our butts to get whipped in 2010!"

Could have saved a lot of wasted typed space if she had just been truthful! Hey Kathy, you are more then welcome to plagiarize my post!
- Mike, Epping

Typical partisan crap. Meanwhile, nobody is looking out for the interests of the poeple of this state.
- DP, Manchester

I love this Sullivan lady, don't read to much into the election results, and then she goes off on a tangent about the election results. Republicans who did not win won't make any excuses, like the fact that Manchester is a democratic city and the fact that 1500 more democrats came out than republicans. Our excuse is just a little bit more plain and simple, we just got outworked, outspent and do not have the orgainization that the city democrats do. The city democrats did a better job and they do a better job than republicans in Manchester do. As you can see, a republican mayor did get elected and that was because he was well financed and worked his tail off, same with Greazzo who was running for his thrid try, as did Patrick Arnold running for the third time. In ward three 23% of the eligible voters came out, 425 were democrats and 275 were republicans. The numbers are what they are and they don't lie. Republicans could lie down and go away but instead we try, we try the best we can but it just hasn't been good enough. yet. You see the democrats have taken a page out of the republicans conservative principles, never talk about spending too much money, never mention a sales or income tax and pretend your fiscally conservative. So far the Buckley-Sullivan hide and play seek with what democrats really are has worked. So far. The day will come when the tide will turn just like it did when Kathy Sullivan lost almost every seat in the state when she was the democratic party chair, but then the tide turned. The tide will turn again and it won't be long. And, don't worry Ms. Sullivan, I will run again and one day I will win, bet on it. Oh, ya Infantine has won the last four races he ran for as a state representative, again, the numbers in the ward six state electiosn do not lie, more republican comes out in state elections as they will in 2010. Keep spewing your nasty hatred concerning the republican boys in Manchester Ms. Sullivan, keep on motivating us your mean ole nasty mouth. Wow, you really have some serious hate issues going on in that head of yours don't you?
- joekelly, manchester

Lots of republican whining in the comments here but I still fail to see what they are crowing about. A win by Gatsas? OK, but what about the 13-1 tilt of the alderman to the democrats. That's going to negate the budgetary creativeness that Gatsas is known for. He'll end up being just as useless as Guinta.

It's especially hilarious to read these commenters complaining about Sullivan's use of the English language. There are way more mis-spellings and grammatical errors in the comments than in Sullivan's column.
- Bill, Concord

"Voters do not like to be told what to do..." But, they don't mind Democrats in Washington telling them what Doctor to visit, when, and what the treatment will be, if they're lucky enough to qualify for treatment. (Those over 65 need not apply.) That makes sense to Ms Sullivan. Unbelievable!
- Leo, Canterbury

Surely there must be a clinical term for the obsession displayed by Buckley/Sullivan over anything that John Sununu says, no matter how innocuous?

At least to Buckley/Sullivan's credit, this latest column didn't stoop quite so much to their normal gutter-level personal attacks, like when they said (paraphrasing) that "Sununu is just upset his son lost", or "he sounds like he needs a vacation", or associating Mr. Sununu with the ageist & sexist stereotype "get off my driveway!" Classy people, those Buckley & Sullivan.

Buckley/Sullivan should stick to what they do best, like forging their opponents campaign signs the day before an election like they have in the last couple of cycles. That way they can treat us to the cringe-inducing, humiliating, child's excuse of "We were just having some fun" when they inevitably get called out. (Which by the way, should have been terribly embarassing to the spouse of a high-school principle who presumably would never allow a student to get away with such a juvenile excuse).
- Greg, Londonderry

Yes Miss Sullivan the democrats are doing a fine, fine job. The economy is still tanking even though the media keeps reporting the recession is lifting. The president is using his military expertise taking his time giving the generals what they need and bringing those we are at war with into our civilian justice system. And thanks to your nose for news you have been right on top of corruption and fraud within your own party.

Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain says’s the great Oz. But then thinking we have an alternative to tax and spend liberalism in the Republican Party is part of the same illusion many suffer from these days.
- Deb, Derry

Has Kathy been sampling the medical marijuana again while writing op-ed's?
- Andy, Milford

All Mrs. Sullivan did get right was her last comment in the article. "All politics really is local." And with that, many people regard the majority of Democrats in Concord as being out of touch with the people of New Hampshire and their wants and needs. Just this last session for the 2009-2010 State Budget (HB2), new taxes and fees were introduced during a recession. Many of these fees even included a hike in the meals and rooms tax and a new 'camping tax'. The people of New Hampshire don't forget these things and come next year in 2010, the good people of Manchester just may give the current majority in Concord the boot and show them the door. Even Manchester's own Democrat Delegation voted for the state's budget and the majority of the delegation, those being democrats voted for the state budget and other higher taxes. Come January, there are bills such as HB584 that ask to put in place an income tax portion to pay for full college tutition for emergency responders and upto 50% cost towards law enforcement officials and their dependants. With a majority in place, the Republicans may not win enough support from across the isle to stop this from happening. It's time for people who haven't voted in past state elections, stop sitting on the side lines and get out the vote like the rest of the state so we can bring our state back to being a leader. Which will help get this country out of the recession and people back to work faster.
- Robert M Tarr, Manchester

The message from Sullivan is a simple one: all the republican wins were either luck, or because of special circumstances. All the democratic wins show a strong and steady trend. What tripe ! Most of her columns are good for a laugh because of her poor writing skills, and her inability to apply logic to her political musings......this column is just a bore.
- Jay Collins, Laconia

Ms Sullivan,

thank you for the entertainment! Just who in NH are you referring to as right wing extremists? I didn't observe any right wing extremism. Conversely I listened to Mr Roy sink his own ship by demonstrating complete financial ineptitude. He proposed building a railroad without an affordable means of doing so. He receoved advice from carol-shea porter that he could request earmarks. That to me sounds like putting special interests ahead of the best interests of the people. Earmarks are not free as most members of congress would like you to believe.

Special interests Ms Sullivan should be near and dear to your heart. The party which you support in NH preys heavily upon the people by accepting large out of state donations (opensecrets.org) as well as donations from special interest groups such as the SEIU and it affiliates.
- Michael Layon, Derry

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